Space Weather Lab

An education-first dashboard for amateur radio operators (UTC time)

Solar Cycle 25 (predicted range)

These are NOAA/SWPC published predicted ranges. For operating, treat this as a baseline trend indicator (months/years), not a day-to-day forecast. Day-to-day outcomes are dominated by solar eruptions (flares/CMEs) and geomagnetic activity.

More context: SWPC Solar Cycle Progression

How to read these charts

  • The shaded band is the predicted range (uncertainty), not a single forecast line.
  • The values are smoothed (trend-level), so they won’t show day-to-day flare/storm behavior.
  • X-axis is year; Y-axis is the smoothed value (SSN or F10.7).

Practical ham-radio implications

  • Higher cycle baseline: higher probability of frequent 15m/12m/10m openings (when geomagnetics are quiet).
  • Lower cycle baseline: 40m/80m stay “reliable” more often, but high-band DX becomes more episodic.
  • Geomagnetic storms can overwhelm a strong cycle temporarily; always check Kp and current conditions.

Current Solar Synoptic Map

A context image showing solar active regions over a full rotation. It’s not a cycle forecast, but it helps connect “what the Sun looks like” to activity discussions.

Solar synoptic map
Source: NOAA/SWPC image products.

Smoothed Sunspot Number (SSN)

12562.3-0.53201920402022202520282031203420372040
What does this mean to me?
A higher solar-cycle baseline generally increases the chance of strong high-band HF (15m/10m) openings. It does not prevent storms or flares.

Smoothed F10.7 (10.7 cm solar flux)

14370.9-1201920402022202520282031203420372040
What does this mean to me?
Higher smoothed F10.7 typically supports higher MUF, so the “ceiling” for HF propagation trends upward during stronger parts of the cycle.